FPL Value

Premier League 2026/27
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Expected points, next five gameweeks

Every player's projected points, built from their xG and xA rates, how often they start, their team's fixtures in the xG fixture model, clean-sheet odds, DefCon and bonus history, and FPL's injury flags. Updated with the data every Tuesday. How it works →

Backtest regular starters
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Captain ranking

Projected points next gameweek, with upside

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Projected pointsUp to the 90th percentile (a good day)Haul = P(10+ pts) · Blank = P(≤2)

Model squad

Best £100m squad for the next five gameweeks

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All projections

Click a column to sort · click a row for the next-gameweek breakdown

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How accurate is it?

Walk-forward backtest: rewind to before each deadline, project that gameweek, compare with what happened. Lower error and higher rank correlation are better.

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Regular starters = started at least two of their last four matches. Points/match = season points ÷ team matches; form = average of the last four; FPL = the game's own ep_next, available for weeks where a snapshot was saved before the deadline. Top-20 = the average actual score of each week's 20 highest-projected players.